Settlement coverage
| Unvisited (0 visits) | 258 |
| Low (<0.1 visit/bldg) | 57 |
| Covered | 1450 |
Basemap © OpenStreetMap · Buildings © Google Open Buildings (CC BY)
What the campaign missed
Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC), 13 districts of northern Côte d'Ivoire · 386,694 submissions
⚠️ The result depends entirely on which building dataset you use
The first run of this analysis used OpenStreetMap buildings and produced a confident but wrong answer. OSM knows only 122 buildings in KANI district — yet the campaign recorded 15,683 visits there. You cannot visit 15,683 households in a district containing 122 buildings: OSM has simply never mapped these areas.
The consequence was a classic artefact — 64 of 67 "missed clusters" landed in the single well-mapped district, because that was the only place where a gap could even appear. The analysis was measuring OSM's mapping coverage, not the campaign's.
Switching to Google Open Buildings (satellite-derived) found 770,394 buildings vs OSM's 126,545 — 6.1×. The decisive validation: the share of visits that land nowhere near any building collapsed from 65% → 4.1%. Only then do the visits and the buildings agree, and the results below become trustworthy.
| District | OSM buildings | GPS visits | visits / building | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KANI | 122 | 15,683 | 128.5 | OSM unusable |
| DIKODOUGOU | 761 | 16,036 | 21.1 | OSM unusable |
| M'BENGUE | 1,726 | 26,800 | 15.5 | OSM unusable |
| OUANGOLODOUGOU | 68,277 | 48,493 | 0.7 | OSM ok |
Coverage gaps by district
Share of buildings (in settlements ≥30 buildings) that sit in a settlement with zero recorded visits.
| District | Settlements | Unvisited | Buildings missed | Buildings total | % missed |
|---|
Largest unvisited settlements — field priority list
These are real, satellite-detected villages with no GPS-tagged visit within 150 m. Open the Map tab and click a red polygon for its exact location.
| # | District | Buildings | Visits |
|---|
A second, independent problem: 23% of visits have no location
89,459 submissions carry no GPS at all — they can never be mapped or verified. The rate varies enormously by district, which points at a device/procedure issue rather than terrain:
- NIAKARAMADOUGOU 33%, MADINANI 31%, DABAKALA 29% — worst
- M'BENGUE 7% — best, and proof the other districts could do better
A handful of points are also plainly corrupt (latitude 50.8° — Europe; longitude +7.8°), and GPS accuracy ranges from 0.7 m to 8.3 km.
How to read this — and what it does not prove
- “Unvisited” means no GPS-tagged submission within ~150 m of the settlement.
- Because 23% of visits have no GPS, some flagged settlements may have been visited but recorded without a location. Treat the list as a priority list for verification, not as proof of failure.
- Settlements are buildings linked within 100 m; their outlines are convex hulls, so they slightly over-cover the real village.
- Buildings come from Google Open Buildings at confidence ≥ 0.65 (median 0.80).
Recommended next steps
- Verify the 258 clusters in the field — start with the 59 that have ≥100 buildings.
- Fix the missing-GPS problem: break the 23% down by agent and device to find the root cause.
- Agent anomaly checks: submissions/day, impossible travel speeds between consecutive points, and stacked identical coordinates (a fabrication signal).
- Cross-check against the Localité org units: a flagged cluster matching a known village with zero submissions is a very strong signal.
Buildings © Google Open Buildings (CC BY 4.0) · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors · Boundaries & submissions: IASO / PNLP Côte d'Ivoire